December 2019 Archives

Congressman Panetta's housing cure

Dear Congressman Jimmy Panetta,

Do you really believe that offering some form of funding, tax deductions for renters and the Affordable Housing, Training & Consulting (AHTC) program is a solution to affordable housing? 

There is, currently, a serious movement to deny residential growth.  As the saying goes, we support additional housing but not in my neighborhood! 

We (as a community) have put up barriers to prevent population growth.  There are endless requirements to be overcome by prospective builders like environmental impact reports justifying water use, air quality, additional traffic solutions, protection of unknown animal species "ad infinitum."

And if a project somehow gets past all this, there are impact fees, architectural reviews, permit fees and then, of course, the ultimate confrontation with planning commissions and city councils or county board of supervisors.  And finally there is a very real possibility of litigation put forth by the "smart growth" or "no growth" contingent.  None of this takes into account the actual cost of buildable land. 

Inflation vs The National Debt.

Under the current "Borrow & Spend" technique, the United States pays more than $523 billion in annual interest on a national debt exceeding $22 Trillion and the current gross national product is $20.66 trillion.  One has to wonder if we as a nation are bankrupt? 

Under the so-called "modern monetary theory" advanced by some political leaders and economists: "deficits are not nearly as dangerous as we've been led to believe."

Stephanie Kelton, an economist at Stoney Brook University, was quoted: "The biggest mistake we make is thinking of the federal government as a household that has to repay its debt."   Ms. Kelton contends the United States won't default on its governmental debts because it can always print more money through the Federal Reserve; moreover, she doesn't believe that flooding the market with more dollars contributes to inflation.  Inflation is prevented, according to her theory, by increasing interest rates and taxes.

The real question is: "Does flooding the market place with more money lead to inflation by reducing the value of a dollar?"  Possibly, a comparison with a previous year - let's say 1955 - might reveal a more accurate story.

1955:  McDonald's sold hamburgers for 15 cents, gasoline 20 cents/gallon, minimum wage $1.00/hour, motel room $2.00/night, hospital room $15.00/day and a house could be purchased for $14,000 or less.  Of some interest is that in 1955 college tuition cost $250 per semester and the student could rent a room with kitchen privileges for $30 a month - so it was possible for a young person to pay for a college education without borrowing money.  Today it costs the average college student between $60,000 and $100,000 for four years and the national student debt exceeds $1.5 trillion.  San Francisco recently reported a one bedroom unit would rent for $3,000 per month.

In 1955 the national debt was $272 billion and the gross national product (GNP) was $440 billion.  Today the national debt of $22 trillion exceeds the $20.66 trillion GNP.  The current federal $7.25 minimum wage does not purchase anywhere near what $1.00 did in 1955.  Unlimited borrowing and the flooding of our market place with borrowed money has reduced the value of the dollar.

            Ultimately, we must ask ourselves if the printing of all this borrowed money is a contributing factor to "un-affordable" living accommodations?  I would have to say "YES!"  There is much discussion concerning the increase of the minimum wage as a solution - but what would it take in today's dollars to equal the value of the dollar in 1955?  I shudder to think of it . . .

            It would appear that offering tax credits, tax deductions and low interest rate loans does not begin to solve the basic problem of unaffordable housing nor the high cost of living because it simply is not possible when considering the decreasing purchasing power of the American dollar, the high cost of vacant land, the expensive labor with benefits and the massive building requirements.

            A possible solution might develop if we - as a nation - reduced our national debt, reduced our population and made the value of the American dollar somewhere near the purchasing power of 1955.

Piper's Papers

February 2020

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